Indian economic growth poised to bounce back as slump bottoms out: Sanjeev Sanyal

12 Feb 2020 Evaluate

Expressing optimism over Indian economy, principal economic adviser at the finance ministry Sanjeev Sanyal has said that the country’s economic growth is poised to bounce back after slipping to a more than six-year low of 4.5% in the July-September quarter as the government has taken measures to prop up investments and consumer demand. He added that corporate tax reductions, the Insolvency and Bankruptcy Code and the banking sector reforms have helped and will help propel growth further.

He said ‘economic growth was set to accelerate to 6% in the financial year beginning in April, compared with estimated growth of 5.0% in the current one’. He dismissed the conservative estimates and said his numbers took into account early signs of recovery in manufacturing and a pick-up in consumer demand. He said the government expected that average consumer price inflation would fall to 4% in the next financial year beginning April, after a recent spike driven largely by food prices.

However, he said there is enough space for the central bank to further cut interest rates, as inflation was likely to ease following a fall in vegetable prices. He further said the budget has offered a clutch of tax incentives for sovereign wealth and insurance funds, which would leave more banking funds for private companies despite higher state borrowings. He also said other than the coronavirus outbreak in China, there is no ‘major other disruption’, to India, and added that it was difficult to quantify the impact as the situation was still evolving.

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