Crisil Research in its latest report has said that the top five electric two-wheeler manufacturers are expected to increase their capacity for electric variants from 0.4 million units in fiscal 2020 to over 3 million units by fiscal 2024. It noted that around 43-48 percent of new 3-wheelers, and 12-17 percent of new 2-wheelers sold will be electric vehicles (EVs) by 2024. However, the traction in four-wheelers segment will be slow with only 5 percent of new car sales estimated to be electric.
The report focused on demand, supply and policy growth drivers for EVs such as battery costs, government subsidy and charging infrastructure, besides conducting a segment-wise analysis of the cost of acquisition and operation of EVs compared with existing internal combustion engine (ICE) vehicles. It said faster adoption of two- and three-wheelers is a function of cost. It also said typically, electric scooters are cheaper to run compared with ICE scooters and, e-autos are cheaper to both own and run compared with their ICE counterparts.
According to the report, in three-wheelers, even incumbent original equipment manufacturers are launching e-autos at a rapid pace. It said at the other end, sales of personal electric cars will remain in the slow lane due to high acquisition and ownership costs in the absence of demand incentives. It added that the number of cab aggregators though will increase as there will be a better operational economies and subsidies.
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