Chief Economic Advisor (CEA) Krishnamurthy Subramanian has said that the coronavirus outbreak in China provides an opportunity for India to expand exports and follow an export-driven model. He mentioned ‘it is very hard to say how this will manifest in terms of India's trade relations with China. If we go by the experience of SARS (outbreak), India was not affected that much.’ India is one of China's leading trade partners in Asia and has a huge trade deficit with that country.
He said China imports a lot of components, parts, assembles and integrates and then exports them. India has been following the same pattern in terms of mobile manufacturing in the country. So, if one looks from this perspective, it provides a good opportunity for India.
Besides, talking about GDP, Subramanian said the economic survey has projected it to be in the range of 6-6.5 per cent in the next fiscal. This has been done by collating many pieces of evidence using business cycles which prevailed in India. He added the Union Budget has laid emphasis on rural consumption and capital expenditure. He further said ‘in any economy, you don't get growth rates that are constant. We need the average to be in that range’.
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