India’s industrial output growth contracts 0.3% in December

13 Feb 2020 Evaluate

India's factory output growth, measured in terms of Index of Industrial Production (IIP), has contracted by 0.3% in December 2019 as compared to expansion of 2.5% in December 2018, mainly on account of a decline in manufacturing sector output. Industrial production growth had turned positive at 1.8% in November 2019 after contracting for three consecutive months of August (-1.4%), September (-4.6%) and October (-4%). As per the data released by the National Statistics Office of the Ministry of Statistics and Programme Implementation, IIP with base 2011-12 for the month of December 2019 stood at 133.5, which was 0.3% lower as compared to the level in the month of December 2018. The cumulative growth for the period April-December 2019 over the corresponding period of the previous year stood at 0.5%. 

On the sectoral front, the manufacturing sector output contracted by 1.2% in December 2019 as against a growth 2.9% in the same month last year. Electricity generation also fell by 0.1% as against a growth of 4.5% in December 2018. Mining sector output grew by 5.4% in the month under review, compared to a contraction of 1% in the year ago month. The Indices of Industrial Production for the Mining, Manufacturing and Electricity sectors for the month of December 2019 stand at 120.6, 134.2 and 150.2 respectively. The cumulative growth in these three sectors during April-December 2019 over the corresponding period of 2018 has been 0.6%, 0.5% and 0.8% respectively. 

Production of capital goods, a barometer of investment, slumped by 18.2% in December 2019 compared to a growth of 4.2% in the corresponding month of the previous year. As per Use-based classification, the growth rates in December 2019 over December 2018 were 2.2% in Primary goods, 12.5% in Intermediate goods and (-) 2.6% in Infrastructure/ Construction Goods. The Consumer durables and Consumer non-durables have recorded growth of (-) 6.7% and (-) 3.7% respectively.   

In terms of industries, 16 out of the 23 industry groups in the manufacturing sector have shown negative growth during the month of December 2019 as compared to the corresponding month of the previous year. The industry group ‘Manufacture of computer, electronic and optical products’ has shown the highest negative growth of (-) 24.9% followed by (-) 20.3% in ‘Manufacture of machinery and equipment and (-) 15.5% in ‘Printing and reproduction of recorded media’. On the other hand, the industry group ‘Manufacture of basic metals’ has shown the highest positive growth of 14.2% followed by 13.2% in ‘Manufacture of wood and products of wood and cork, except furniture; manufacture of articles of straw and plaiting materials’ and 5.9% in ‘Manufacture of leather and related products’.  

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