Posture on inflation to be maintained: RBI

18 Aug 2011 Evaluate

The Reserve Bank of India (RBI) will maintain its anti inflationary stance and expects inflation to be around 7% by March 2012. The RBI Deputy Governor K C Chakrabarty on August 17 said, 'whatever the inflation guidance is given in the quarterly statement (July) that stands as of today.' The RBI in its quarterly monetary policy statement, had revised upward its inflation projection for the March 2012, it has increased its forecast from 6% to 7%.  

Headline inflation measured by the wholesale price index (WPI) for the month of July stood at 9.22% down from 9.44% in the last month. The government has also revised inflation numbers for the month of May from 9.06% to 9.56%. Earlier, the government revised inflation numbers for April to 9.74%. The non-food inflation or core inflation also increased for July, it stood at 7.5% from 7.3% in June. Looking at the trend of inflation data revision, if government revised inflation data for the month of July then it may touch the two digit mark.

From the monetary policy perspective, central bank has maintained its anti-inflationary stance by ignoring the slowdown in growth. Since March 2010, RBI has increased its key policy rates by 11 times, with headline inflation and core inflation expected to be at elevated level for coming few months. RBI is expected to continue its anti-inflationary stance. On September 16, it may increase its policy rates by 25 basis points.

On the New Banking license, the RBI Deputy Governor said the draft guidelines could be expected any time soon. RBI had submitted the draft guidelines on new banking licenses to the finance ministry for approval, which is believed to have been cleared by the ministry.

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