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India’s Q3FY20 GDP growth slows down to 4.7%

29 Feb 2020 Evaluate

With contraction in manufacturing sector output, India’s Gross Domestic Product (GDP) growth slipped to a nearly 7-year low of 4.7% in October-December 2019 (Q3FY20) as compared to GDP growth of 5.6% in the corresponding quarter of 2018-19. The GDP growth for Q3FY20 is the lowest since January-March of 2012-13, when it stood at 4.3%. Besides, in the previous quarter (July-September) of the ongoing fiscal, the economic growth was revised upwards to 5.1% from 4.5% estimated earlier. Similarly, the first quarter growth was revised upwards to 5.6% from 5%. Moreover, the growth in GDP during 2019-20 is estimated at 5.0% as compared to 6.1% in 2018-19.

As per the National Statistical Office (NSO), Ministry of Statistics and Programme Implementation data, GDP at Constant (2011-12) Prices in Q3 of 2019-20 is estimated at Rs 36.65 lakh crore, as against Rs 35.00 lakh crore in Q3 of 2018-19, showing a growth of 4.7%. GDP at Current Prices in the year 2019-20 is estimated to attain a level of Rs 203.85 lakh crore, as against Rs 189.71 lakh crore in 2018-19, showing a growth rate of 7.5%.

The data also showed that the gross value added (GVA) growth in the manufacturing sector contracted by 0.2% in the third quarter of this fiscal from 5.2% expansion a year ago. However, the farm sector GVA growth was up at 3.5%, compared to 2% growth in the corresponding period of the previous fiscal. Construction sector GVA growth too slowed to 0.3% from 6.6% expansion earlier. Mining sector growth came in at 3.2%, as against a contraction of 4.4% a year ago. Electricity, gas, water supply and other utility services segment contracted by 0.7%, from 9.5% growth a year ago.

Similarly, trade, hotel, transport, communication and services related to broadcasting growth declined to 5.9% in the third quarter from 7.8% a year ago. Financial, real estate and professional services growth was up at 7.3% in Q3 FY2019-20 from 6.5%. Public administration, defence and other services reported improvement with 9.7% rise during the quarter under review, from 8.1% a year earlier. Moreover, the Per Capita Income in real terms (at 2011-12 Prices) during 2019-20 is estimated to attain a level of Rs 95,706 as compared to Rs 92,085 in the year 2018-19, giving a growth of 3.9% during 2019-20, as against 4.8% in the previous year. The Per Capita Income at current prices during 2019-20 is estimated to be Rs 134,432, showing a rise of 6.3% as compared to Rs 1,26,521 during 2018-19.

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