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RBI’s 3-month suspension of EMIs may provide Rs 2.10 lakh crore liquidity to corporates: Crisil

22 Apr 2020 Evaluate

Crisil Ratings in its latest report has said that the Reserve Bank of India's (RBI) three-month suspension of EMIs could provide a liquidity breather of Rs 2.10 lakh crore if all corporates avail it. The report is based on assessment of 9,300 of its rated non-financial sector companies across 100 sectors. It said sectors with higher leverage, such as power, telecom, roads, textiles and fertilisers, will be the major beneficiaries and account for nearly 47% of the total breather available.

As per the report, the moratorium announced by RBI on interest and principal obligations due between March 1 to May 31, 2020, would tantamount to a liquidity breather of Rs 2.10 lakh crore if all companies opt for it. The amount is arrived at by considering total principal and interest falling due in the three-month period. While the moratorium provides substantial benefit to India Inc, actual salary payments will depend on liquidity available on the day of the payout.

The rating agency said companies into information technology consulting and automobile makers have low leverage and will gain relatively less from the moratorium. But they typically maintain high liquidity, which can be used to pay salaries. It added that all companies will substantially benefit from the moratorium as the median salary cover is 0.65 time. About 40% of them even had a cover of over one time, indicating the benefit from moratorium exceeds employee cost during the lockdown.

It also said these companies are from sectors such as electricity generation, agricultural products and trading and have high financial leverage, which maximises their gains from moratorium, but relatively low employee-cost intensity. The report further said automobile dealerships could face some challenges in salary payouts despite materially benefiting from the moratorium. That is because, continuing slowdown in the automobile industry and complete halt in operations because of the lockdown have severely impaired their liquidity.

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