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India staring at worst recession in current fiscal: CRISIL

27 May 2020 Evaluate
In the wake of COVID-19 pandemic, credit rating agency CRISIL in its latest report has said that India is staring at its worst recession in the current fiscal since Independence. The agency predicted the economy to shrink by 5 per cent in the current fiscal because of coronavirus lockdown and added that the first quarter (April to June 2020) will suffer a staggering 25 per cent contraction.

As per the CRISIL, the recession in the current fiscal year is different as agriculture could soften the blow this time by growing near its trend rate, assuming a normal monsoon. It also underlined that the coronavirus lockdown, first imposed on March 25 and extended thrice till May 31, has curtailed economic activity severely.

Besides, the report said that the first quarter of this fiscal will be the worst affected. Not only will the first quarter be a washout for the non-agricultural economy, services such as education, and travel and tourism among others could continue to see a big hit in the quarters to come. Jobs and incomes will see extended losses as these sectors are large employers.

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