Indian economy likely to contract 5% in FY21: S&P Global Ratings

28 May 2020 Evaluate
Lowering its growth forecast, global rating agency S&P Global Ratings in its latest report has said that Indian economy is expected to contract 5 per cent in the current fiscal year (FY21) as the lockdown imposed to contain COVID-19 pandemic has curtailed economic activity severely.

As per the report, the COVID-19 outbreak in India and two months of lockdown -- longer in some areas -- have led to a sudden stop in the economy. That means growth will contract sharply this fiscal year. Economic activity will face ongoing disruption over the next year as the country transitions to a post-COVID-19 world.

S&P Global Ratings further noted that the government's stimulus package, with a headline amount of 10 per cent of GDP, has about 1.2 per cent of direct stimulus measures, which is low relative to countries with similar economic impacts from the pandemic. The remaining 8.8 per cent of the package includes liquidity support measures and credit guarantees that will not directly support growth.

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