COVID related risks to growth trajectory could exert downward pressure on India's rating: S&P

12 Jun 2020 Evaluate
Few days after projecting India's economy to shrink by 5 per cent in the current fiscal, global rating agency S&P Global Ratings in its latest report has said India's external position should remain stable over the next 12 months but COVID-19 pandemic-related risks to growth trajectory could exert downward pressure of the sovereign ratings if there is a weak recovery.

As per the report, India's external position should remain stable barring a collapse in exports, a steep decline in the central bank's foreign-exchange reserves, or a sustained rise in the current account deficit. It also said that low energy prices, which should persist for some time, will benefit the Indian economy most and hard hitting economic reforms could return to the agenda.

According to S&P, India's economic outlook remains bright, so long as emerging weaknesses are addressed before growth rates fall much further. The rating agency also noted that the course of India's pandemic will play an important role in determining the strength of its economic recovery.

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