Auto component sector’s revenue likely to decline by 14-18% in FY21: ICRA

13 Jul 2020 Evaluate

Ratings agency ICRA in its latest report said that Indian auto component sector’s revenue is expected to decline by 14-18 percent in the current financial year (FY21) owing to weak demand across domestic original equipment manufacturers (OEMs), replacement market and exports. It noted that while the auto components industry has been hit due to Coronavirus disease (COVID-19) pandemic and lockdown, mission critical replacement parts like batteries and tyres would be less impacted.

According to the report, automobile volumes are expected to decline by around 15-16 percent in FY21, within this, passenger vehicle demand will decline by 22-25 percent. It also noted that the year will be tough for commercial vehicles (CV) too, given the slowing economic growth, current overcapacity in the CV space and tight financing environment amid price increases due to transition to BS-VI emission norms. However, it said two-wheeler sales could benefit as people prefer personal transport and are wary of public transport, easy retail credit availability; and expectations of better demand in rural and semi urban markets, which were relatively less impacted by COVID-19 pandemic and resulting restrictions.

Ratings agency expects the recovery of the auto components sector to be gradual and slow-paced, with the industry pinning hopes on revival in rural income to support growth in the festive season and thereafter. Besides, it said domestic automotive production declined by around 14.7 percent in FY20 and is expected to witness double-digit decline in FY21 as well. It added that the aftermarket component demand which accounts for 18 percent of the industry turnover, is also expected to be subdued in the near term, the exception being components like batteries.

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