The Chairman of 15th Finance Commission N K Singh has said that India will see a sharp V-shaped recovery in the third and fourth quarter of the current fiscal (FY21). However, he said Gross Domestic Product (GDP) growth in FY21 would ultimately be in negative territory as the coronavirus lockdown led to serious demand and supply dislocations. Stating that global economic depression will continue to cast shadow on growth prospects next fiscal, he said the economic expansion in 2022-23 would determine whether or not the initiatives to revive growth are sustainable.
He also said for a country of India's size, the ideal debt to GDP ratio should be 60 percent and to reach that level in the medium term would require fiscal deficit to be aligned to this debt objective. He noted that India's debt to GDP ratio stood at 70 percent of GDP in the 2019-20 fiscal and is projected to touch 80 percent in the current fiscal.
With regard to bank recapitalisation, he said there was a need to be far more significant and decisive in banking recapitalisation plan. He also said 'I think over the next five years, there is huge public outlay which will be needed to keep PSU bank adequately recapitalized.'
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