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NBFCs’ AUM likely to witness decline of 1-3% in FY21: Crisil

30 Jul 2020 Evaluate

Credit rating agency Crisil in its latest report has said that assets under management (AUM) of non-banking financial companies (NBFCs) are likely to witness a decline of 1-3 percent in the current fiscal (FY21), for the first time in almost two decades as fresh disbursements have witnessed a substantial drop. It noted that excluding the top 5 NBFCs, the de-growth is expected to be even sharper at 7-9 percent. It added that the AUM of shadow banking sector is estimated to have grown by 4-6 percent in FY20.

The report said while, disbursements across segments are expected to fall 50-60 percent, lower repayments during the loan moratorium period (March 1, 2020, to August 31), and capitalisation of interest accumulated will, however, help limit the de-growth of NBFCs AUM. Besides, it said real estate and structured credit focused NBFCs are likely to witness a de-growth of 10-12 percent in their AUM in FY21. Home loan NBFCs may show a growth of 0-2 per cent. Gold loan NBFCs AUM is likely to grow at 14-16 percent in the current fiscal.

However, the rating agency said the silver lining would be gold loans, which constitute around 5 percent of the AUM. It said growth here is seen to be relatively higher as more individuals and micro enterprises go for it to meet immediate funding needs. It said in the current environment, competition from banks, especially in the traditional asset classes such as home loans and vehicle finance, is expected to be substantially higher given that banks have surplus liquidity and their focus will be on these asset classes in the retail space. 

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