India Ratings and Research (Ind-Ra) in its latest report has said that non-banking finance companies (NBFCs) are likely to see an increase in their refinancing requirements with the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) permitting banks to go for one-time restructuring of loans that are facing stress due to the COVID-19 crisis. It said this is in view of their large contractual debt repayments, as scheduled cash inflow gets deferred, though the severity of the same would depend upon the proportion of loan portfolio restructured and terms of restructuring (i.e complete moratorium vs partial payments).
As per to the report, a higher quantum of restructured assets would clearly reflect higher asset quality challenges for NBFCs and can restrict their ability to mobilise funds from banks and capital markets. It noted that at the end of June 2020, a substantial portion of loan book of NBFCs was under moratorium. Housing loans had the least portion of the book under moratorium, while wholesale lenders had the maximum portion of their loans under moratorium. Besides, it observed that collection efficiency, reflecting the repayment behaviour of customers, has improved since April 2020 with easing of lockdown restrictions. It added that collection levels across asset classes/segments were far below pre-COVID levels. It added that businesses still did not generate cash flows sufficient enough to make their timely debt repayment.
The report further said 70-80 percent of real estate loans were under moratorium at end-June 2020. Given builders' cash flows were already weak even prior to the pandemic due to anemic sales velocity and lack of refinancing opportunities, it said the book is likely to undergo restructuring first. It also pointed out that commercial vehicle players are facing the brunt of reduced freight availability, higher diesel prices and lower freight charges. It noted that NBFCs can restructure these loans, given the poor cash flow with these borrowers.
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