India’s GDP likely to contract 11.8% in FY21: Ind-Ra

08 Sep 2020 Evaluate

Domestic rating agency, India Ratings and Research (Ind-Ra) in its latest report has revised its FY21 gross domestic product (GDP) growth forecast further downward to negative 11.8% from negative 5.3% earlier. However, the rating agency said that GDP is expected to rebound and grow at 9.9% year-on-year in FY22 mainly due to the weak base of FY21.

India Ratings and Research further noted that the negative 23.9% growth in the first quarter of FY21 is the first contraction in quarterly GDP data series which has been made available in the public domain since the first quarter of FY98.

Besides, the rating agency estimates the economic loss in FY21 to be Rs 18.44 lakh crore. Ind-Ra expects the retail and wholesale inflation to come in at 5.1% and negative 1.7%, respectively, in FY21.

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