Moody’s Investors Service in its latest report has projected that India’s Gross Domestic Product (GDP) growth rate to contract 11.5% for the financial year 2020-21 (FY21), from (-) 4% estimated earlier. Besides, India’s economic growth fell 23.9% during the first quarter of 2020-21, primarily because of a lockdown imposed to limit the spread of the coronavirus.
The agency said ‘India’s credit profile is increasingly constrained by low growth, high debt burden and a weak financial system’. These risks have been exacerbated by the coronavirus pandemic. It added that ‘mutually reinforcing risks from deeper stresses in the economy and financial system could lead to a more severe and prolonged erosion in fiscal strength, exerting further pressure on the credit profile’.
Moody’s also said that India’s policy-making institutions have struggled to mitigate the risks worsened by the coronavirus pandemic. However, for 2021-22, it projected the economy to clock a growth of 10.6% on the back of a strong base effect.
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