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Debt resolution through IBC for financial creditors to take hit in FY21 due to pandemic: ICRA

02 Dec 2020 Evaluate

ICRA in its latest report has said that debt resolution through the insolvency and bankruptcy code (IBC) and the resultant realisation for financial creditors has taken a hit so far this fiscal due to the pandemic that led to suspension of fresh proceedings. It said at best, financial creditors may realise Rs 60,000-65,000 crore through IBC in FY21, significantly lower than Rs 1,00,000 crore they realised in FY20. It added that better realisation looks uncertain even in FY22 due to the suspension of the code for a one-year period due to the pandemic.

The rating agency said the number of admitted cases declined 82 per cent to 161 in the first half of the current fiscal from 889 cases in the year-ago period, while the number of cases resolved during the reporting period declined by 61 per cent over the year-ago period as the case backlog jumped due to the pandemic-driven lockdowns. For the first six months of FY21, only 42 cases undergoing insolvency process have been resolved/plan approved, yielding just about Rs 12,600 crore for financial creditors.

ICRA said ‘The pandemic has sort of ensured that the IBC resolution process may continue to get impacted in the second half due to the decline in cases yielding a resolution plan as well as an increase in haircuts that lenders would have to take’. It noted ‘Even the expected realisation of Rs 60,000-65,000 crore for the year would largely depend on the successful resolution of a large housing finance firm (DHFL) currently underway’. It also said ‘the realisation may continue to suffer next fiscal as fresh insolvency cases are suspended till December 25 this year, which may be further extended by three months or more’.

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