India's macroeconomic situation very uncertain; GDP to contract by 10% in FY21: Pronab Sen

14 Dec 2020 Evaluate

Former chief statistician Pronab Sen has said that at the moment India's current macroeconomic situation is very uncertain and the country's Gross domestic product (GDP) could contract closer to 10 percent in the current fiscal (FY21). He also said that although the overall macro management of the economy by the government has not been very good but this particular slowdown is really beyond its control.

Sen said quarterly GDP numbers are still derived from some corporate accounts and corporates have not fared as badly as the non-corporate sector. He said ‘we know that MSMEs have been hit much harder than the corporations. So, the headline number coming out in the national accounts is an overly optimistic picture of the economy’. He also stressed on bringing back confidence of the investors. He noted that investors are new people who put their money into creating new production capacity, that is completely missing and until that comes back, the economy cannot grow. He added ‘because at the moment, as things stand our production capacity will not be very higher than what it was in 2019-20. And in fact, it will be less than that because some of the capacity may have closed down.’

India's economy recovered faster than expected in the September quarter as a pick-up in manufacturing helped the GDP clock a lower contraction of 7.5 percent and held out hopes for further improvement on better consumer demand. The GDP had shrunk by a massive 23.9 percent in the first quarter of the current fiscal as the COVID-19 lockdown pummelled economic activity.


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