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Economic recovery progressing towards Q4 level of FY20: PHD Chamber

23 Dec 2020 Evaluate

PHD Chamber of Commerce and Industry’s EBM Index (Economic and Business Momentum Index) has stated that the continuous improvement in the key economic and business indicators signals that the worst is behind us and expectations of positive GDP growth at 0.1 per cent to 2 per cent in Q3 and 2 per cent to 4 per cent in Q4 FY 2020-21 are becoming strong with a higher growth trajectory in FY 2021-22 at 7.7 per cent.

PHD Chamber of Commerce and Industry -- Sanjay Aggarwal said the series of stimulus announcements by the Government in last 9 months under the AatmaNirbhar Bharat Abhiyaan 1.0, 2.0 and 3.0 along with the calibrated measures undertaken by the RBI have pulled the economy from the lows of Q1 FY 2020-21 (-) 23.9 per cent in Q1 2020-21 to (-) 7.5 per cent in Q2 FY 2020-21. He said the overall growth for the FY 2020-21 is expected to contract by (-) 7.9 per cent.

The growth trend of PHDCCI EMB Index suggests that the economy has the potential to rejuvenate at more than 7.7 per cent growth trajectory in the next financial year 2021-22. On a monthly basis, PHDCCI EBMI has shown steady recovery from the lows of 78.3 in April 2020 to 85.7 in May 2020, 91.6 in June 2020, 95.5 in July 2020, 95.9 in August 2020, 96.5 in September 2020 and 96.7 in October 2020.

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