Indian economy expected to contract by 9 .6% in FY21: World Bank

06 Jan 2021 Evaluate

The World Bank in its Global Economic Prospects report has said that India's economy is estimated to contract by 9.6 per cent in the fiscal year 2020-21 (FY21), reflecting a sharp drop in household spending and private investment. Report said that the informal sector, which accounts for four-fifths of employment, has been subject to severe income losses during the COVID-19 pandemic. In India, the pandemic hit the economy at a time when growth was already decelerating.

Further, it stated that in India, growth is expected to recover to 5.4 per cent in 2021, as the rebound from a low base is offset by muted private investment growth given financial sector weaknesses. The informal sector, which accounts for four-fifths of employment, has also been subject to severe income losses during the pandemic. Recent high-frequency data indicate that the services and manufacturing recovery are gaining momentum.

Besides, it said that south Asia is projected to grow by 3.3 per cent in 2021. Weak growth prospects reflect a protracted recovery in incomes and employment, especially in the services sector, limited credit provisioning constrained by financial sector vulnerabilities, and muted fiscal policy support.

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