ICRA Ratings in its latest report has said that non-banking finance companies (NBFCs) are likely to see a 7-9 percent growth in their asset under management (AUM) in FY22 but access to funding would be crucial for them to have a sustained improvement. It said NBFCs would require an additional funding lines of about Rs 1.9-2.2 lakh crore, apart from the refinance of the existing lines, to achieve a 7-9 percent growth in AUM in FY22.
According to the report, the segment's AUM had registered a growth at a CAGR of 16 percent over the period March 2016-March 2020. Growth in FY22 is envisaged to be driven by the improvement in demand from all the key target segments vis a vis current fiscal, which was impacted by the COVID-19 lockdown. It noted that some of the key segments which would bolster growth include gold loans, home loans, personal credit, rural finance and microfinance. Growth in the vehicle finance (commercial vehicle, passenger vehicle), business loans including loan against property and other commercial lending segments, which are closely linked to the economic activities are expected to take longer to register a reasonable revival.
The report further said NBFCs exposures to the commercial real estate and other large corporate/ wholesales exposures are expected to register a decline even in FY22 after the decline of about 15 percent in FY20 and about 10 percent expected contraction in FY21. It also stated that majority (around 70 percent) of issuers and investors do not expect co-lending to account for less than 10 per cent of non-bank AUM over the next 2-3 years. Access to adequate funding, therefore, would remain critical for the sector to register a sustained improvement in growth.
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