Growth, inflation outlook for FY22 portends 'more than full recovery': Finance Ministry

10 Feb 2021 Evaluate

The finance ministry's monthly report has said growth and inflation outlook for 2021-22 (FY22) portends more than full recovery, and that the country has become the COVID-19 vaccine hub of the world. The report said the structural reforms and the policy push under the Aatmanirbhar Bharat Mission along with the slew of measures announced in the Union Budget 2021-22 towards achieving broad-based inclusive growth will strengthen the fundamentals of the economy and bring it back on to a strong and sustainable growth path in the year ahead.

Indian economy is estimated to contract 7.7 per cent in the current financial year, mainly due to the coronavirus pandemic. The latest Economic Survey projected growth rate to rebound to 11 per cent during 2012-22 while the Budget estimated real GDP to be between 10-10.5 per cent. The report said the Survey pitched for growth through counter cyclical fiscal policy emphasising that growth alone is the answer to sustaining the public debt burden of the country. Further, the report said the Budget implemented the counter cyclical fiscal policy by raising the target of fiscal deficit to 6.8 per cent of GDP, more than double the FRBM (Fiscal Responsibility and Budget Management) target.

The report noted that various measures taken by the government since March 2020 against the pandemic ensured minimum loss of life. It mentioned early lockdown, health-infra ramp up, gradual unlocking, blanket testing, social distancing, calibrated fiscal stimulus to minimise supply side disruptions and revive demand and structural reforms pursued diligently by government since March, 2020 have now come to fruition to limit the fatality rate to globally one of the lowest at 1.2 per cent. According to the report, with each day ending with positive COVID-19 cases falling to new lows and economic activity levels attaining new peaks, India has worked its way around the pandemic through the will of the brave people and astute policy interventions by the government.

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