Credit rating agency, India Ratings and Research (Ind-Ra) in its latest report has said that the gross domestic product (GDP) growth is likely to bounce back to 10.4% year on year (yoy) in FY22, primarily driven by the base effect.
As per the report, after recording negative growth during 9MFY21, GDP growth will finally turn positive at 0.3% yoy in 4QFY21. Although the recovery in FY22 on a yoy basis will be V-shaped, the size of the GDP will barely surpass the level attained in FY20 and will be 10.6% lower than the trend value.
The rating agency further noted that the impact of COVID-19 pandemic and lockdown on the economy, although subsiding, will continue to delay the normalisation of economic activities in the contact-intensive sectors till the mass vaccination/herd immunity becomes a reality.
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