India Ratings and Research (Ind-Ra) in its latest report has said that the performance of unsecured assets classes, such as microfinance loans, unsecured business loans and consumer loans, is worsening with deteriorating financial conditions of borrowers. For secured asset classes, it has a stable performance outlook given the recovery in the economy in FY22.
The report stated that the Reserve Bank of India's moratorium on repayment of loans has delayed the stress in these segments where delinquencies have not yet stabilised and higher loan losses are expected to materialise in FY22. It also noted that vehicle loans -- including loans for commercial vehicles, passenger vehicles and two-wheelers -- have a stable asset performance outlook, given the pickup in economic activities witnessed in the second half of FY21. It added that small business loans are expected to witness differentiated performances depending on the loan type.
As per the report, secured business loans (principally loans against property) also has a stable asset performance outlook, due to the borrower's higher propensity to repay. digitisation initiatives are also expected to help with better portfolio monitoring and in reducing soft delinquencies. It noted that the focus has shifted to building quality secured loan portfolios, upping process efficiency and automating customer follow-ups. It added that recovery momentum and continued policy support in FY22 will be key for loan performance.
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