Amid the ‘strong’ vaccine drive, the Asian Development Bank (ADB) in its flagship Asian Development Outlook (ADO) 2021 has stated that India’s economy is likely to grow at 11 per cent in the current fiscal year (FY) 2021-2022, which ends on March 31, 2022. However, it cautioned that the surge in COVID-19 cases may put the country's economic recovery at risk. It added that for FY 2022-2023, India's GDP is expected to expand at 7 per cent.
Further, it said the gross domestic product (GDP) of South Asia is expected to rebound to 9.5 per cent this year, following a contraction of 6 per cent in 2020, before moderating to 6.6 per cent next year (2022). ADB said the economic growth in developing Asia is set to rebound to 7.3 per cent this year, supported by a healthy global recovery and an early progress on COVID-19 vaccines. The projected resurgence follows a 0.2 per cent contraction last year.
The report said ‘the region's growth is forecast to moderate to 5.3 per cent in 2022. Excluding the newly industrialized economies of Hong Kong, China; the Republic of Korea; Singapore; and Taipei, China, developing Asia's economic activity is expected to grow 7.7 per cent this year and 5.6 per cent in 2022’. The report projects that most economies in developing Asia will see healthy growth this year and in 2022.
Developing Asia comprises 46 members of ADB list on the basis of geographic group. These include new industrialized economies, countries in Central Asia, East Asia, South Asia, Southeast Asia and the Pacific. The report said in China, strong exports and a gradual recovery in household consumption will boost economic activity this year.
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