Ratings agency Crisil has said although the market is growing in 2021-22, a full recovery in the residential realty sector is expected only in 2024. According to it, the country’s housing market is expected to grow by 5-10 per cent in the current fiscal year. It noted improved affordability and continuing work-from-home will increase demand for residences in India’s top six cities this fiscal. But two of these-Mumbai and Pune-could see demand contracting due to the higher base of last fiscal, while the rest should see a rebound on a low base. However, absolute demand will catch up with pre-pandemic levels only after fiscal 2023.
Further, it mentioned in FY22, while the overall housing demand may remain subdued due to the second Covid wave, market sentiments is expected to improve steadily, in line with the recovery last year, from October-onwards. Further, the ongoing pandemic and its economic fallout will help larger developers grow faster now – leading to consolidation in the real estate market.
It said ‘Established developers with well-managed balance sheets would grow faster than the industry, consolidate their presence, and sustain their credit profiles.’ According to Isha Chaudhary, director at Crisil Research, demand in Bengaluru, Hyderabad, the National Capital Region and Kolkata is set to rise 40-45 per cent this fiscal after plunging 25-45 per cent last fiscal, propelled by better affordability and lower base.
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