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Private hospitals to post 15-17% revenue growth in FY22 on higher occupancy with COVID surge: Crisil

23 Jun 2021 Evaluate

Ratings agency Crisil has said that higher occupancy due to surge in COVID-19 cases would help private hospitals post 15-17% revenue growth this fiscal year (FY22), a shade higher than what they attained in 2020-21. The growth will aid recovery of operating margin by 100-200 basis points to 13-14%, but still fall short of the 2020-21 mark due to higher proportion of COVID-19 treatments, which are less profitable.

Crisil Ratings Senior Director Manish Gupta said ‘While the second wave lashed again in April, the first quarter this fiscal will be sharply better on-year, with occupancy of 75%, almost double on-year. This will be largely on account of a surge in COVID-19 treatments more than offsetting the deferral of elective surgeries and outpatient footfalls’. He added that as the second wave recedes in the second quarter, Crisil expects pent-up demand for non COVID treatments to rebound and support occupancy. He also said ‘Overall, higher occupancy of 65-70% this fiscal versus 58% in the last, would drive rebound in revenue growth’.

Recovery in revenue and margins will nevertheless spur hospitals to resurrect capex, which had almost halved year-on-year last fiscal. The performance of hospitals was severely impacted in the first quarter of last fiscal year due to postponement of elective surgeries and preventive healthcare which together account for 60% of revenue, in addition to travel restrictions and curbs on COVID-19 treatment by private hospitals. The sector clawed back in the second quarter and had recovered completely by the third as elective surgeries and preventive healthcare treatment increased and COVID treatments, too, were permitted for most private hospitals. This helped limit the overall revenue decline to 12 per cent for the full year.

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