Credit ratings agency CRISIL in its latest survey has revealed that festive season sales and pent-up demand along with new launches are expected to push automobile dealers’ volumes up by 10-15 per cent in FY22, even as they see a patchy recovery this fiscal. However, it said a possible third wave of COVID-19, spurt in fuel prices and supply constraints of original equipment manufacturers (OEMs) are seen among factors that could slow the sector down. Also, the performance of the automobile dealers varies sharply from region to region with the dealerships in north India being impacted the most.
According to the survey, while most passenger and commercial vehicle dealers expect sales to improve across regions, 44 per cent of passenger vehicle dealers in the north and 40 per cent of commercial vehicle dealers in the south expect a decline. Last fiscal, it said as many as 45 per cent of the commercial vehicle dealers surveyed in the north and 67 per cent in the west witnessed over 20 per cent year- on-year decline in sales. Overall, two-wheeler dealers are optimistic about sales this fiscal. At the same time, dealers in the east and west expect higher sales, while 33 per cent in the north and 20 per cent in the south are not as hopeful.
Ratings agency further stated that last fiscal, around 60 percent of the two-wheeler dealers surveyed in the north and south reported over 20 percent year- on-year decline in sales. Low inventory levels will help in quicker recovery and also reduce holding costs. About 75 per cent of the surveyed dealers reported vehicle inventory of less than 45 days due to better management.
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