The RBI's Executive Director Mridul Saggar has said that the Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) should not continue with unconventional measures now, and it is possible to have lower liquidity levels while continuing with the growth-enhancing accommodative stance. He said as the growth normalises, it makes policy sense to lower the liquidity levels to some extent, and added that the negative real interest rates are impacting the retired people.
RBI's Executive Director said there is heightened interest over when the RBI and the MPC start reversing the unconventional policy measures taken immediately after the onset of the pandemic to help the economy. He note d that For the last few policy reviews, the MPC has voted for a status quo on rates but at the last meeting, fpelled out its desire to lower the excess liquidity in the system and took some measures which set off speculation of when does the central bank start the process of normalisation.
Saggar further said the RBI pumped Rs 13.6 trillion of excess liquidity since March 2020 through its various measures which equals 6.3 per cent of GDP. He stressed that it did not go all out in pumping funds like Brazil. Going all out would have led to concerns on financial stability. He also said inflation is unlikely to breach the 6 per cent tolerance band set by the government for the RBI as part of the inflation-targeting framework, even though there has been some firming in the last two data points. He said ‘if the recovery sets in, then obviously, we need to be data-dependent and see if we can move inflation back towards the target.’
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