Credit ratings agency ICRA in its latest report has said that domestic two-wheeler (2W) volume is expected to contract by 1-4 percent year-on-year this fiscal (FY22), as the relentless increase in 2W prices during the year and record-high petrol rates have kept consumers away from dealerships. Further, it said that the lacklustre festive season performance also highlights the continued wariness among the low-income population regarding big-ticket purchases.
ICRA stated that the sales of 8.05 million two-wheelers in the domestic market in April-October period of FY2022 are flattish on a YoY basis despite a severely contracted base. It said while the demand for premium two-wheelers, which comprise around 15 per cent of the overall domestic volumes, has fared relatively better, the OEMs have faced supply constraints due to semi-conductor chip shortages. It said overall, given the existing inventory at dealerships post-festive season (40-45 days), a high growth in wholesale dispatches in the remaining part of the fiscal is unlikely.
According to the report, the entry-segment (75-110cc), which dominates two-wheeler sales in India, has remained subdued this year, reflecting extensive (and extended) impact of the second wave of the pandemic. It added that income uncertainties, caused by job losses, salary cuts or limited increments, while facing Covid-related medical expenses (actual or anticipated) and skyrocketing cost of two-wheeler ownership, have led to purchase deferrals this festive season.
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