FY23 likely to witness decent growth: MPC member Jayanth R Varma

27 Dec 2021 Evaluate

Expressing hope that in a few quarters from now, capital investment would begin to pick up even in the old economy, a member of the Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) of the Reserve Bank of India (RBI), Jayanth R Varma has said ‘I am quite optimistic about the Indian economy and its growth prospects... The next year (2022-23) is also expected to witness decent growth’. He added that inflation is a matter of concern, but as of now it is the persistence of inflation rather than its level that is a matter of concern.

According to Varma, the pre-pandemic level of economic activity has already been surpassed, and the rest of this financial year should also see further recovery. He noted that calendar year 2021 saw dozens of new economy companies receive large funding both in private and public equity markets and these companies would have positive spillover effects into the rest of the economy as well. About the threat from the new Covid variant to the economy, he said the Omicron variant does create uncertainties, but he thinks the world is slowly beginning to live with the Covid-19 virus.

On high inflation, Varma pointed out that a few months ago, CPI inflation had breached the upper tolerance band of 6 per cent, but more recently, CPI has been well within the band. According to him, the worry is that inflation is not coming down to the 4 per cent target, and there is a risk of it stabilising at 5 per cent instead for too long a period. The rise in core inflation as well as WPI inflation suggest that CPI inflation may stay elevated well into 2022-23.

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