Global economy may face rough time for next two years: Kaushik Basu

17 Dec 2012 Evaluate

As per World Bank Chief Economist Kaushik Basu, the global economy will go through a very rough time in the next two years, since Euro-zone is still in recession and the crisis will take time to abate, however Europe has made several important moves since December 2011, by injecting some essential liquidity in the system.

Further according to Basu, over the next two years; there will be battles to repair the key issues and concerns for growth of the euro-zone that got exposed by the global financial crisis of 2008. After 2015, the global economy will firm up, with the emerging economies becoming the growth poles, while industrialized nations witnessing slower but steady growth.

On India’s economic outlook, Basu said its medium and long-term prospects are good as India saves and invests more than 30% and also the foreign direct investments into India have risen to a record figure in 2011-12. However, the country may see another ‘harsh’ year in terms of economic growth in 2013 as the European situation will remain very difficult up to end of 2014.

He added that fundamentally, India is very strong and the last couple of months have begun to give out good signals but it is time for India to invest in infrastructure and soft institutional sides of development. Citing an example Basu said, some countries like China have done well in investing in infrastructure in which India failed to do.  Calling over the recent slew of measures taken by the government, Basu said India should buck the global weak trend even though the global climate continues to be tough.

Further, the World Bank has projected India's growth of about 5.5% for this year and below 6% for 2013. For 2014 and 2015, it has projected economic growth close to be about 7%.

© 2026 The Alchemists Ark Pvt. Ltd. All rights reserved. MoneyWorks4Me ® is a registered trademark of The Alchemists Ark Pvt. Ltd.

×