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Direct impact of Russia-Ukraine war on Indian credits appears to be limited: Ind-Ra

08 Mar 2022 Evaluate

Credit rating agency, India Ratings and Research (Ind-Ra) in its latest report has said that the direct impact of the Russia-Ukraine war on Indian credits appears to be limited. Ind-Ra’s initial assessment indicates that the impact would be largely restricted to small entities and those at the lower end of the credit spectrum.

According to the report, the impact will be more pronounced in few sectors and given the relatively small exposure, it would remain manageable from a credit point of view. The agency is reviewing its portfolio of entities and will take communicate rating actions wherever appropriate. Ind-Ra further said that the entities in the pharma and subsidy-linked sectors, such as fertilisers, are the most exposed. Expressing worries, the agency noted that the increase in commodity prices could result in a stretched working capital cycle for small and medium enterprises (SMEs), thereby weakening their debt servicing ability. Additionally, any material rise in interest rates could increase the EMI burden on borrowers.

As per the report, the non-banking financial institutions have adequately provided towards standard and delinquent assets and also have capital buffers to absorb a rise in credit cost. Hence, Ind-Ra does not expect a substantial impact on their capital buffers, provided the crisis is not prolonged.  On the other hand, Ind-Ra expects commercial vehicle financiers to face some credit deterioration in their borrower segment as borrower’s cash flow gets impacted with an increase in the fuel cost which accounts for up to two-thirds of the operating cost for vehicle operators.

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