Govt may find it difficult to achieve NMP targets for 2022: CII-BCG

28 Dec 2012 Evaluate

On the back of moderating industrial growth, India may not be able to meet investment target and 100 million job opportunities by 2022 envisaged by the government in the National Manufacturing Policy (NMP), as per the CII report. According to the CII-BCG report, by considering the moderate growth forecast by top management of manufacturing companies, the NMP targets for 2022 might be missed by a wide margin and India might end up losing $350 billion in incremental manufacturing GDP and also expected to create 70 million less jobs.

On the manufacturing sector, the report said that it has seen a slowdown during the last two years. Besides global crisis, domestic issues like regulatory burden, poor infrastructure, land acquisition, inflexible labour laws have contributed to the declining business confidence and fall in investments in the sector. Whereas in the NMP, the government expects to enhance the share of manufacturing in the GDP to 25 percent within a decade from 16-17 percent at present. 

On survey of over 70 senior representatives of top Indian manufacturing companies, 75 percent said that they expect the growth of manufacturing sector to be less than 7 percent. Industrial growth was 1.2 percent in the April-October period of current fiscal, which was less than 3.6 percent in the same period of previous fiscal. Further, to boost the manufacturing sector in India, the CII-BCG report recommended various steps that include setting up of an industry-government institutional framework to achieve the industrial agenda, which would be responsible for coordination across relevant diverse departments.

Moreover, the report said that the current restructuring of the global manufacturing opens a lot of opportunity for India, which will be done if India fixes the basic enablers, since countries like Indonesia, Thailand, Malaysia and Mexico are already building on the low cost competitive advantage by multiple actions.  The report also added that government should also increase investment in R&D and innovation as India is lagging behind its peers and spends less than 1 percent of its GDP in R&D and it also requested the private sector to aggressively invest in innovation and R&D.

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