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Achieving 8.2% growth in 12th Plan will not be easy: Plan panel study

07 Jan 2013 Evaluate

Achieving 8.2% growth over the next five years (2012-17) will not be easy and a fresh approach to economic issues is needed to push growth, as per a Planning Commission study. Earlier, the country's apex policy making body - National Development Council (NDC) had already scaled down the average growth target for the 12th Plan to 8% from 8.2% envisaged earlier. The average growth rate was 7.9% in 11th Plan (2007-12).

Further, as per the study, policy options where the government only augments one determinant of growth at a time will not be enough, because the quantum of increase needed will be very high and at times unreasonable.

The Planning panel study also suggested that only a balanced growth path will be plausible and sustainable. New thinking, new efforts and new policies which can be implemented in a time-bound manner will be needed to augment each determinant of growth, in order to achieve the 12th Plan target over the next five years. Further, it added that the policies that led the growth spurt of mid-2000s may have already had its impact.

The economy recorded 9-year low annual economic growth of 6.5 percent in FY12 and it has grown by 5.4 percent in the first half of this fiscal. Meanwhile, Kaushik Basu a senior economist working with the World Bank, also noted that the economic growth in the current fiscal would be less than 6 percent.

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