Credit rating agency, India Ratings and Research (Ind-Ra) in its latest report has said that the sharp rise in the interest rate is likely to affect the volume in non-priority sector lending (PSL) securitisation in the near term, unlike that of PSL transactions, which are more driven by regulatory requirements. According to the report, the sharp rate rise of more than 1%-2% along with a challenging business environment may affect borrowers with floating interest rate loans such as home loans and loan-against-property (LAP), and especially borrowers having lesser financial flexibilities.
Ind-Ra further noted that it will continue to monitor the situation, especially the assets classes which are more susceptible to the twin shocks of rising interest rates and the challenging business environment. The agency believes that the impact of the interest rate hikes will be asymmetric, and more visible on the securitisation of the fixed interest rate asset classes such as commercial vehicles (CVs) and tractors, secured and unsecured business loans as well as the instruments where minimum holding period (MHP) norms stipulate at least a six-month seasoning before being securitised.
Hence, it said that any pools, which are now eligible, would have been originated at lower interest rates. Consequently, this would lead to lower spreads in the through certificate (PTC) transactions. Asset classes such as home loans and LAP, where interest rates are generally floating based on a benchmark rate, would not face the same issues as loan rates can be reset periodically, hence, transaction spreads may not be affected. Additionally, the securitisation of PSL pools may not see a material drop in volumes, as regulatory PSL requirements would ensure securitisation volumes.
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