Credit Rating Agency ICRA in its latest report has said that while banks have been more calibrated in hiking their card rates on deposits, the deposit rate hikes will be aggressive in the coming months as credit growth picks up further, leading to a decline in banking system liquidity.
According to the report, the reliance of banks on Certificates of deposit (CD) has been increasing in recent months to fund incremental credit demand with the CD outstanding volume rising 243% year-on-year (YoY) as of July 1, 2022, to Rs. 2.4 trillion. The rise in the yields on T-Bills and consequently on CDs has also widened the gap between the yield on a CD compared to the average card rates on bank deposits. It also said the spread on CD issuances by banks rose to 170 bps over their average 6-month deposit rates in July 2022 compared to the spread of just 30 bps in April 2022.
ICRA also expect a hike in the repo rate (and hence SDF rates) by 60 bps by the end of September 2022 to 5.5%, which would further push up the yield on various benchmark instruments like T-Bills and hence the bank CD rates, thereby widening the spreads even more vis-à-vis bank deposit rates. It said this will push banks to start chasing deposits aggressively, which will also lead to higher deposit rates in the next three quarters.
Start Research-backed Investing ...Now. Subscribe to Sapphire
MoneyWorks4Me is a SEBI-registered Investment Adviser (IA) dedicated to helping investors build long-term wealth through transparent, research-driven, conflict-free guidance. Founded in 2008, we started our journey as a Research Analyst (RA), providing deep fundamental analysis, intrinsic value insights, and long-term investing frameworks for Indian equities. In 2017, we transitioned to a full-fledged SEBI-registered Investment Adviser, strengthening our commitment to acting as a fiduciary—always putting the investor’s interest first.
To become India’s most trusted, research-powered fiduciary advisory platform—where every investor, regardless of experience, can make calm, confident, and well-reasoned investment decisions.
MoneyWorks4Me ensures this through: