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Indian economy to grow at 5.9% in 2013: IMF

24 Jan 2013 Evaluate

In line with the gradual strengthening of global expansion, the International Monetary Fund (IMF) has pegged India's economic growth rate in 2013 at 5.9% and projected a higher growth of 6.4% in 2014. In its update to the World Economic Outlook (WEO), IMF expects the global economy growth to reach 3.5% in 2013, higher than the estimated 3.2%. For China, the IMF has projected a growth rate of 7.8% in 2012, 8.2% in 2013 and 8.5% in 2014.

Further as per IMF, growth in emerging markets and developing economies is on track to build to 5.5% in 2013. Supportive policies have underpinned much of the recent acceleration in activity in many economies. However, growth is not projected to rebound to the high rates recorded in 2010-11. Developing Asia, including China and India, will remain the fastest-growing region in the world, according to IMF forecast.

Giving the assumption of lower commodity prices in 2013 in its update, IMF reported that the weakness in advanced economies will weigh down the external demand, as well as the trade of commodity exported. By adding further, IMF said the space for further policy easing has diminished, while supply bottlenecks and policy uncertainty have hampered growth in some economies like Brazil and India.

As per the report, economic conditions have improved modestly in the third quarter of 2012, with global growth increasing to about 3%, the IMF report said the main sources of acceleration were emerging market economies, where activity picked up broadly as expected, and the United States, where growth surprised on the upside. However, a broad set of indicators for global industrial production and trade suggest that global growth did not strengthen further.  

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