ISMA revises sugar output estimates on favorable climatic conditions

25 Jan 2013 Evaluate

The Indian Sugar Mills Association (ISMA) has modified sugar production estimate upwards to 24.3 million tonnes (MT) from its earlier projection of 24 MT on higher than expected output in Uttar Pradesh, Maharashtra and Karnataka. India’s sugar output is expected to rise marginally by 1.25% on favorable climatic conditions during sugarcane crop maturing period. However, the output is lower than that last year’s actual production of 26 MT which ISMA had estimated in the beginning of the previous season.

In Uttar Pradesh, the largest sugarcane producing state, the output is expected to touch 8.1 MT, up from the earlier estimate of 7.9 MT. In Maharashtra, the output is expected to reach 6.8 MT, up from the earlier projection of 6.5 MT. So far, Maharashtra has produced 3.3 MT of the sweetener.

In Karnataka, the sugar output is expected to touch 3.2 MT from the earlier 3 MT as the northern part of the state has more cane on the fields. However, in Tamil Nadu, the sugar output may be lower due to the drought-like conditions which may impact the yields and recovery. ISMA has reduced the output forecast to 2.2 MT from the earlier estimate to 2.55 MT. In Gujarat, the output is expected to touch 9.6 lakh tonne from 8.8 lakh tonne, while in Andhra Pradesh sugar production is likely to be lower at 10 lakh tonne from the earlier estimate of 10.8 lakh tonne.

ISMA’s forecast is higher than the Food Ministry’s estimate of 23 MT for the year, while consumption is expected to remain around 22 MT. ISMA has also taken care of sugarcane, which would go into local sweeteners, seed purposes for 2013-14 plantation, sugarcane for chew/feed purpose, impact of drought on sugarcane yield and recovery in southern and western zones etc.

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