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Quad alliance to magnify supply-chain and investment shifts; India to benefit: Moody's

27 Sep 2022 Evaluate

Moody's Investors Service in its latest report has said that deepening economic relationships among members of the Quad to increase technological and energy security amid China's growing influence in the Asia-Pacific region could have long-term credit implications resulting from supply-chain and trade reconfigurations. In particular, India stands to benefit from greater trade and investment flows, it said, although, at a gradual pace due to regulatory hurdles.

Report mentioned ‘It (India) will likely be a growing destination market for goods from fellow Quad countries, while the US and Japan will continue to be major sources of foreign direct investment in India's services, telecommunications and software sectors.’ It said that Australia's presence will grow due to a free-trade agreement with India.

Besides, it stated the Quad's effects on geopolitical tensions could alter capital flows and international business activity. For instance, any increase in member countries' tensions with China could drive companies to diversify their production centres in Asia-Pacific. Moreover, it said ‘But these shifts may occur only slowly because Quad governments will be cautious not to antagonize China, given their existing deep commercial ties. It added while existing regional frameworks will continue to underpin trade flows, the greater economic focus of Quad member countries - Australia, India, Japan and the US - will drive some trade shifts.

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