Indian economy likely to grow by 6.7% in 2013-14: FICCI survey

28 Jan 2013 Evaluate

Indian economy is likely to grow at a rate of 6.7% in the 2013-14 on account of expectations of cut in the key policy rates by the Reserve Bank of India (RBI), which may have a positive impact on industrial growth and consumption, as per Federation of Indian Chamber of Commerce and Industry’s (FICCI) Economic Outlook Survey. FICCI, the largest and oldest apex business organization in India has revised its growth forecast upwards from 6.5% to 6.7% for 2013-14 fiscal.

As per the survey, ‘the revival in sentiment reflects cautious optimism and is an indication of improved sentiment post September 2012 mainly due to the government's renewed thrust to the reforms agenda. While, this improvement is largely based on the expectation of a possible cut in the policy rates which is expected to have positive impact on industrial growth and consumption.

Further, India Inc is also expecting a repo rate and CRR cut of 0.25-0.50% each in the forthcoming review of the monetary policy scheduled on January 29. Further it said that a majority of economy experts also felt that a reduction of 0.75-1% in repo rate through FY'14 is more likely, which is critical for revival of growth.

Moreover, FICCI’s president Naina Lal Kidwai said, the possibility of the RBI cutting rates will provide industry a fresh dose of oxygen and along with the expected US recovery, will breathe some life back into industry adding with inflation risk receding, there is indeed some scope for easing in the forthcoming monetary policy. Moreover, inflation based on wholesale prices declined to a three-year low of 7.18% in December.

On fiscal deficit, she said that if the recommendations regarding the roadmap on fiscal consolidation will be made in accordance with the Kelkar report then 'we would soon be moving on the right track'. However, she added that ballooning current account deficit remains a constraint on monetary policy easing. With exports witnessing a decline and global demand likely to remain flat in the near term, it will be vital to extend support to the labour intensive export oriented units, she added.

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