Tightening actions by world’s central banks to help to prevent high inflation from becoming entrenched: IMF

06 Oct 2022 Evaluate

The International Monetary Fund (IMF) has said that recent tightening actions by many central banks around the world will help to prevent high inflation from becoming entrenched. It said the current coincidence of rising inflation and nominal wage growth has led to concerns that a wage-price spiral-in which both wages and prices accelerate for a prolonged period-could emerge.

It further said many economies have seen sharp rises in price inflation since 2021 as adverse supply shocks buffet the global economy and labour markets appear tight in the wake of the acute COVID-19 shock. These inflation rises have raised concerns among some observers that prices and wages could start feeding off each other and accelerate, leading to a wage-price spiral dynamic.

John Bluedorn, Deputy Division Chief on the World Economic Outlook in the IMF's Research Department, said if inflationary shocks start to come from the labour market itself- such as an unexpected, sharp uptick in wage indexation-that could moderate the effects of falling real wages, pushing up both wage growth and inflation for longer.

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