CSO overlooked rising trend in economy for 2012-13 estimates: Ahluwalia

08 Feb 2013 Evaluate

Baffled over the methodology of Central Statistical Organization (CSO) in computing economic growth projections, the Planning Commission said it has ignored the rising growth trend, while estimating the economic growth for current fiscal. As per the CSO, India's GDP is estimated to grow at an annual 5% in the 2012/13 fiscal year against 6.2% for 2011-12.

Planning Commission Deputy Chairman Montek Singh Ahluwalia said that Indian economic growth cannot be bottomed out, if yes, then it shows that CSO has projected the economic growth by straight forward linear projection, which would not be right. By adding further, Ahluwalia said 'I think it (growth projection of 5 percent in 2012-13) is very low. I have been told that CSO has taken data from April to November (2012-13) and they just projected it'.

Further, he said, ‘I don't think that they even have full data for November (2012). CSO have some production data and some credit data and I think that it is not reliable way to project the economic growth. The GDP growth for 2010-11 was recently revised from 8.4 to 9.3 percent and hoped that it may happen to 2012-13 estimates also.’

Regarding the 12th five year plan, Ahluwalia said that the growth in 2012-13 will certainly be below 6 percent, but I would not change the average annual growth rate target of 8 percent for 12th five year plan (2012-2017).

© 2026 The Alchemists Ark Pvt. Ltd. All rights reserved. MoneyWorks4Me ® is a registered trademark of The Alchemists Ark Pvt. Ltd.

×