Domestic rating agency ICRA in its latest report has said that the aggregate occupancy for its hospital industry sample set is likely to remain healthy at 62-64% in FY2023 and FY2024, backed by continued healthy demand for elective surgeries, recovery in medical tourism to preCovid levels; and continued market share gains for organised players.
According to the report, improving payor mix, growth in surgery volumes, price revisions by companies to offset cost inflation and faster throughput in discharges are expected to aid healthy growth of 8-10% in average revenue per occupied bed (ARPOB) for the sample set in FY2023. It also said given the high base, ARPOB growth in FY2024 is estimated to moderate to 2-4%. It said revenue growth is estimated to be 15-17% on YoY basis in FY2023, supported by strong occupancy and higher ARPOB. However, it said growth is expected to slightly moderate to 4-6% in FY2024, given the high base and moderate growth in ARPOB.
The report further said despite high input cost inflation, improving operating leverage, supported by the increasing scale of operations and continued cost optimisation measures, are expected to support a healthy OPM of 20-22% in FY2023 and FY2024. ICRA maintains its Stable outlook on the Indian hospital industry, led by the rising incidence of non-communicable lifestyle diseases, growing per capita spend on healthcare and awareness levels, increasing penetration of health insurance and revival in medical tourism volumes.
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