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Gross Budgetary Support for Central Plan may be raised 5-7%

13 Feb 2013 Evaluate

To neutralize the effect of inflation, the Gross Budgetary Support (GBS) to the Central Plan for 2013-14 may be raised just enough to counteract the rising price situation. GBS to central plan provides allocation for various flagship schemes. Finance Minister P Chidambaram will announce the final figure on February 28, when he will present the Budget after deep discussion between the Finance Ministry and the Planning Commission.

Though, the Planning Commission’s approach is aspiration as it has advocated higher outlay for the central scheme, but going by the current financial situation, the increase may be as little as 5-7% over budget estimates of 2012-13. Further, a 5-7% increase over BE will take the amount of GBS for 2013-14 to Rs 4.64-4.72 lakh crore.

However, for the current fiscal, it is expected that the government may cut 28-30% of the actual GBS and if it happens then the increase in GBS for next fiscal could be seen much higher in percentage terms. Even in FY12, the revised estimate for GBS was lower than the budget estimate.   

Moreover, a lower revised estimate will help the finance ministry’s effort to keep the fiscal deficit within the revised target of 5.3% for 2012-13. At the same time, with the ministry intending to keep the fiscal deficit target for 2013-14 at 4.8%, will require reduced expenditure.

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