Room for monetary easing over next few months limited: Subbarao

19 Feb 2013 Evaluate

Arresting the hopes of further rate-cuts, Reserve Bank of India (RBI) Governor, D Subbarao said, ‘there is room for monetary easing over the next few months, but that room is limited because of the outlook for inflation and outlook for growth.’ As per the RBI, risk of inflation escalation as well as concerns over fiscal and current account deficits, are limiting the scope for easing of monetary policy.

As per the RBI governor, to decide on the monetary policy action, the RBI would have take into account the fiscal consolidation measures and deficit projections by the Finance Minister in the upcoming budget. He said that the government will come up with deficit status in the budget and we will consider the headline fiscal deficit number along with the quality of the fiscal adjustment.

By adding further he said, monetary policy stance is also determined by the various factors like how the inflation will unfold and current account situation. Currently, the government is struggling with situation of widening deficit and now the pressure has shifted to the central bank to bring an environment of price stability and fiscal consolidation and also maintain it for long-term economic growth.    

As per Subbarao, current account deficit (CAD) in the current fiscal is expected to be at the highest level. CAD, which is the difference between inflow and outflow of foreign currency, was 4.2% in 2011-12 fiscal. It touched a record high of 5.4% in July-September quarter of current fiscal. While for fiscal deficit, the government aims to restrict fiscal deficit in the current financial year at 5.3% of GDP and bring it down to 4.8% in 2013-14.

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