Markets likely to get negative start on Thursday

23 Mar 2023 Evaluate

Indian benchmarks ended slightly higher on Wednesday led by buying interest in Bajaj Twins and Pharma stocks. Today, the bears are likely to make come back on Dalal Street with negative start taking cues from US markets post the US Fed’s announcement of a 25 bps rate hike despite the ongoing crisis in the banking sector. There will be some cautiousness as Fitch Ratings said India has some room to cut capital expenditure in FY24 as there may be pressure on revenue as the buoyancy assumptions in the Union budget may be inflated. It said ‘The government's large ramp up in capex plans in FY24, does give a bit of room for them to manage/cut spending on the capex side, if there are pressures elsewhere in the budget. The revenue buoyancy assumption in the budget may be on the high side when compared to the historical performance, which could lead to pressure on revenues’. However, some support may come later in the day as the National Stock Exchange's provisional data showed foreign institutional investors (FII) have turn net buyers for first time in last 10 straight sessions, buying shares worth Rs 61.72 crore on March 22. Meanwhile, industry body PHDCCI has approached the government seeking reintroduction of the Credit Linked Capital Subsidy Scheme to facilitate technology upgradation of micro and small enterprises. Agriculture industry stocks will be in focus as the country's fertilisers minister Mansukh Mandaviya said India will not need to buy fertiliser from the spot markets to meet local demand in the summer sown crop season starting from April. He added there will be no shortages of fertilisers in the kharif season. There will be some reaction in oil & gas industry stocks with report that India's imports of crude oil in February rose about 8% from a year earlier, as fuel demand hit over 2-decade highs in the world's third-biggest oil importer and consumer. Select hotel industry stocks will be in limelight as a Crisil Market Intelligence report stated that premium hotels are expected to log in strong growth across operating parameters, especially on the revenue side, which is expected to surge 80 per cent this fiscal and a further 15-20 per cent next, buoyed by the continued recovery across categories.

The US markets ended lower on Wednesday after the U.S. Federal Reserve delivered a widely expected 25 basis point policy hike, while hinting that it was on the verge of pausing future increases in view of recent turmoil in the financial sector. Asian markets are trading mixed on Thursday tracking lackluster trade on Wall Street on Thursday.

Back home, Indian equity markets witnessed sideways momentum throughout the day and managed to close in green on Wednesday mainly due to buying in Healthcare, Utilities and Auto stocks amid a firm trend in global equities. Markets made a positive start and stayed in green for whole day, as traders were getting some encouragement with the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) in its article stating that unlike the global economy, India would not slow down and maintain the pace of expansion achieved in 2022-23. It said the NSO's end-February data release indicates that the Indian economy is intrinsically better positioned than many parts of the world to head into a challenging year ahead, mainly because of its demonstrated resilience and its reliance on domestic drivers. Traders also took a note of report that India will spend a whopping 1.7 per cent of its GDP on transport infrastructure this year -- around twice the level in America and most European countries. Sentiments remained positive in late afternoon deals amid a private report stating that the government is evaluating measures to bring down the tax burden on foreign investors that put money in alternative investment funds (AIFs), which include venture capital (VC) and private equity (PE) domiciled in India. Adding to the optimism, Union minister Nitin Gadkari said that social and economic equality is the ultimate goal of the government and Vasudhaiva Kutumbakam' (world is one family) embodies a powerful message from India's G20 Presidency, signalling the commitment to pursue fair and equitable growth for all in the world. However, gains remained capped as some concern came with exchange data showing that Foreign Portfolio Investors offloaded equities worth Rs 1,454.63 crore on Tuesday. Finally, the BSE Sensex rose 139.91 points or 0.24% to 58,214.59 and the CNX Nifty was up by 44.40 points or 0.26% to 17,151.90.

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