Fitch Ratings affirms India's sovereign rating with stable outlook on robust growth outlook

09 May 2023 Evaluate

Fitch Ratings has affirmed India's sovereign rating with a stable outlook and said that the country has a robust growth outlook and resilient external finances. It has affirmed the country’s Long-Term Foreign-Currency Issuer Default Rating (IDR) at 'BBB-' with a Stable Outlook and added that strong growth potential is a key supporting factor for the sovereign rating.

It also said ‘India's rating reflects strengths from a robust growth outlook compared with peers and resilient external finances, which have supported India in navigating the large external shocks over the past year’. However, it said these are offset by India's weak public finances, illustrated by high deficits and debt relative to peers, as well as lagging structural indicators, including World Bank governance indicators and GDP per capita. The agency has kept India's credit rating unchanged at 'BBB-' -- the lowest investment grade rating -- since August 2006.

The rating agency forecast India to be one of the fastest-growing rated sovereigns globally at 6 per cent in the current fiscal year ending March 2024 supported by resilient investment prospects. It further said ‘Still, headwinds from elevated inflation, high interest rates and subdued global demand, along with fading pandemic-induced pent-up demand, will slow growth from our FY23 estimate of 7 per cent before rebounding to 6.7 per cent by FY25’.

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