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India’s economic growth below trend: OECD

12 Mar 2013 Evaluate

Paris-based think-tank, Organization for Economic Co-operation and Development’s (OECD), latest assessment shows, Indian economy slowing down while most of the developed world led by the US and Japan, seeing better growth prospects. The projections are based on OECD's Composite Leading Indicators (CLIs), which are designed to indicate turning points in an economy.    

In January, India's CLI stood at 97.2 marginally lower than 97.3 recorded in December last year. The country's CLI has been on decline trend since September 2012 when it touched 98.  This review comes at a time when the economy is surrounded with high inflation and fiscal deficit. Indian economic growth slipped to 4.5 percent in the three months ended December 2012, the lowest for any quarter in a decade. Fiscal deficit for the current financial year (2012-13) is projected to be 5.2 percent of GDP.

OECD said, ‘in China, India and to a lesser degree in Brazil the CLIs point to growth below trend. In Russia however, the CLI points to growth picking up’. However, OECD's readings for developed nations such as the US and Japan are positive. ‘In the US and Japan, the CLIs continue to point to economic growth firming. Further, in the Euro Area as a whole, and in particular Germany, the CLIs point to a pick-up in growth.

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