S&P estimates India's economy growth rate at 6.4 percent for FY'14

15 Mar 2013 Evaluate

In a big sign of relief for the UPA Government, global ratings agency Standard & Poor's pegged India's GDP growth for FY'14 at 6.4 percent and said it may upwardly revise outlook on the sovereign rating to stable if the Government continues to focus on policy initiatives to reduce structural fiscal deficits, improves investment climate and increase growth prospects.

The rating agency S&P, which last April put India's sovereign rating outlook to negative (BBB- which is close to junk status),  has said that declining growth in Asia's third- largest economy would start bottoming out starting next month, but there was still downside risks because of uncertain external demand, a worse-than-expected monsoon, and political paralysis. The five state polls in the second half of 2013, with general elections next year and slowing down economic environment both globally and domestically would make it difficult to rein in fiscal deficit at the targeted level of 4.8 percent for FY'14.

S&P also suggested measures like efficient use of the fuel, fertiliser and agricultural subsidies and early implementation of the goods and services tax (GST) to bring down the fiscal deficit.      

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